[Hololive English -Promise-] Which talent will leave Hololive last?
[Hololive English -Promise-] Which talent will leave Hololive last?
Basic
5
Ṁ3902100
31%
IRyS
1%
Ceres Fauna
15%
Ouro Kronii
22%
Nanashi Mumei
31%
Hakos Baelz
If a talent is terminated or graduates they will resolve NO.
This market closes when there is only one talent left, which will resolve YES.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@Tripping Huh, that doesn't seem like a good format for this kind of market. Looks like if something like this market ever resolves, it will resolve to n/a, in worlds where hololive is closed completely or rebranded or some other significant change occurs (so there's no last member technically). I'm not aware of any gen that ended up with just one member, while I might be missing something from early history of hololive.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.1.00Related questions
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