If Trump wins, will his approval rating be above 40% after one year in office?
Plus
71
Ṁ75822026
58%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
If he does not win or does not serve a full year in office for any reason, resolves N/A. Resolution source: 538 Job Approval average
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
Looks like he was actually slightly above 40% for most of his first term https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/trump-approval-ratings/
Related questions
Related questions
Trump approval rating 45.0% or higher on Feb 20th?
66% chance
What approval ratings will Trump have on FiveThirtyEight in the first month of his second term?
Will Donald Trump's net approval one year after his inauguration be at least 10 points worse than on his inauguration?
51% chance
If Trump wins, will his approval rating be above 45% after one year in office?
32% chance
Will Trump's approval rating be above 40% at the end of his second term?
26% chance
If Trump wins, will his approval rating be above 50% after one year in office?
15% chance
If Trump is elected President in 2024, will he have an approval rating higher than 50% one year later?
14% chance
If Donald Trump becomes the next president, what will his approval rating be a year after assuming office?
41% chance
Will Trump’s approval rating be higher than Biden’s after:
Will Trump have a higher approval rating than 40% as of February 20, 2025?
85% chance