Who will be a member of the next Cabinet of the United States
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352
Ṁ660k
May 1
2%
Elon Musk
77%
RFK Jr
48%
Tulsi Gabbard
3%
David Sacks
99%
Doug Burgum
2%
Dr. Oz
99%
Elise Stefanik
9%
Jim O’Neill (@regardthefrost)
1%
Kamala Harris
7%
Karoline Leavitt
99%
Linda McMahon
4%
Marjorie Taylor Greene (MTG)
15%
Markwayne Mullin
0.8%
Matt Gaetz
1%
Merrick Garland
2%
Nikki Haley
99%
Pam Bondi
1%
Pete Buttigieg
3%
Ron DeSantis
7%
Stephen Miller

Definitions

  • a member of the next Cabinet of the United States means a cabinet member who

    • takes office after being appointed or nominated by the winner of the 2024 US Presidential Election, they must swear in or assume office before May 1, 2025,

    • continues their pre-election role in the cabinet as of noon on January 27, 2025 without anyone nominated to replace them, or

    • swears in as the vice president after the 2024 US Presidential Election before May 1, 2025.

    Unconfirmed acting heads of the executive departments do not count.

  • Cabinet of the United States means the vice president, the heads of the executive departments, and other Cabinet-level officials. It currently includes:

    • Vice President

    • Attorney General

    • Secretary of State

    • Secretary of the Treasury

    • Secretary of Defense

    • Secretary of the Interior

    • Secretary of Agriculture

    • Secretary of Commerce

    • Secretary of Labor

    • Secretary of Health and Human Services

    • Secretary of Housing and Urban Development

    • Secretary of Transportation

    • Secretary of Energy

    • Secretary of Education

    • Secretary of Veterans Affairs

    • Secretary of Homeland Security

    • Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency

    • Director of the Office of Management and Budget

    • Director of National Intelligence

    • Director of the Central Intelligence Agency

    • Trade Representative

    • Ambassador to the United Nations

    • Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers

    • Administrator of the Small Business Administration

    • Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy

    • White House Chief of Staff

If a position elevated to Cabinet-rank, or a new department is created before May 1, 2025 then it will be included.

All times in DC time.

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@mods Please resolve. Wiles, Hegseth, Rubio, Noem, and Duffy have all assumed office. Not sure what the holdup is.

@Marnix Vance too.

Resolve…

Wiles, Hegseth, Rubio, and Noem have assumed office. Could we get some YES resolutions?

@Calvin6b82 Wiles, Hegseth, Rubio yes

bought Ṁ5,000 NO

According to "Establishing And Implementing The President's "Department Of Government Efficiency" – The White House",

DOGE is just the United States Digital Service, renamed, with a few people added.
Doesn't seem like a cabinet level position, to me

@EricNeyman if you wanna sell Tulsi NO shares at polymarket price, ping me

same for RFK

bought Ṁ750 NO

Polymarket has Tulsi at 47%

yEaH bUt tHeRe iS a ZeRo ChAnCe tHeY gEt CoNfIrMeD. 😂

@Predictor Yep. Oh man, I'm surprised that some of you liberals didn't actually realize. Donald Trump doesn't care about the norms of your "democracy", he's gonna burn the system down and all the elites with it. Looking forward to Project 2025, there are some great changes in there!

@stardust i think a lot of the expectations that at least some of the members of this absolute shit show won't get confirmed are wishful thinking from conservatives.

@LukasTilmann Why would Trump voters not want them confirmed?

@Shai first of all, I said "conservatives", not "Trump voters". Second, a lot of the Trump voters who are well informed enough to use niche political prediction markets convinced themselves that Trump wouldn't actually do the stupid policies he ran on and that he would nominate normal people like during his first term. Hanania is an example.

@LukasTilmann Just curious, what are the top 3 stupidest policies Trump ran on in your opinion?

@Shai Everything else is so overshadowed by the blanket tariffs that it's almost pointless to talk about anything else, but I don't think informed conservatives are hoping for him to implement policies he floated such as abolishing the income tax in favor of tariffs, excempting tips from taxes, capping credit card interest rates at 10%, making overtime pay tax free... I think a lot of them are also think that mass deportations would be inflationary and bad for the economy.

Fwiw, I don't think he will actually do his grab bag of peronist tax giveaways but he will do tariffs and get his nominations through.

@traders Recess appointments count since it's covered under "appointed" in "takes office after being appointed or nominated"

Does the DOGE count?

@ZaneMiller No, absolutely not.

@Predictor “If a position elevated to Cabinet-rank, or a new department is created before May 1, 2025 then it will be included.”

It sounds like this depends if DOGE is cabinet level or not

@aebaeb No one cares about approvals for a 2nd term. Fact of the matter is he not only won the EC, he also won the popular vote. That's all the "approval" he needs in his mind. And he's likely right.

@aebaeb 👍

@aebaeb 😂 in what world?

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