Which of Trump's cabinet picks will be confirmed? [ADD RESPONSES]
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58
แน€5695
Feb 16
99%
Marco Rubio
99%
Elise Stefanik
99%
Doug Burgum
99%
Sean Duffy
99%
Brooke Rollins
99%
Kristi Noem
99%
Howard Lutnick
99%
Scott Bessent
97%
Lori Chavez-DeRemer
89%
RFK Jr
52%
Tulsi Gabbard
30%
Tom Homan
3%
Karoline Leavitt
Resolved
YES
Pete Hegseth
Resolved
N/A
Seb Gorka

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sold แน€45 YES

@strutheo Just realized - the role Gorka's been nominated to doesn't actually require a senate confirmation.

bought แน€109 YES

@Marnix Tom Homan and Leavitt is the same

sold แน€30 YES

@Riley12 I think Karoline Leavitt, too

A slightly broader market is here:

bought แน€56 NO

@strutheo Should this resolve to NO now that he has been withdrawn from the nomination for AG?

@strutheo A couple clarifying questions:

1) What about cabinet positions that do not require confirmation by the Senate (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_positions_filled_by_presidential_appointment_with_Senate_confirmation)? For instance, Karoline Leavitt perhaps will not be "confirmed" as press secretary because the position does not go through the Senate confirmation process.

2) What if Trump convinces the Senate to let him do recess appointments? Again, that would seem to skip "confirmation".

@Tsunombie 1) ill NA those if there is no confirmation process

2) seeing how other people are moderating that

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