Crash of Learjet 55 - NTSB's determined cause(s) - Multichoice FFA

Plus

Ṁ974

2026

56%

The NTSB's report explicitly states that electrical failure (due to unknown causes) contributed to the crash.

50%

The NTSB's report explicitly states that electrical failure (explicitly due to a maintenance error) contributed to the crash.

50%

The NTSB's report explicitly states that electrical failure (explicitly due to a design flaw or manufacturing defect) contributed to the crash.

44%

The NTSB's report explicitly states that mechanical failure (due to unknown causes) contributed to the crash.

44%

The NTSB's report explicitly states that mechanical failure (explicitly due to a maintenance error) contributed to the crash.

44%

The NTSB's report explicitly states that mechanical failure (explicitly due to a design flaw or manufacturing defect) contributed to the crash.

44%

The NTSB's report does not explicitly state that any of the above causes contributed to the crash.

44%

The NTSB's report explicitly states that pilot error (from any aircraft) contributed to the crash.

44%

The NTSB's report explicitly states that air traffic control error or any other form of ground-based air transport support staff error (excluding maintenance of the aircraft) contributed to the crash.

36%

The NTSB does not release a final report by December 31, 2025.

18%

The NTSB's report explicitly states that an intentional pilot action (suicide, terrorism, etc.) (from any aircraft) contributed to the crash.

18%

The NTSB's report explicitly states that an intentional passenger action (suicide, terrorism, etc.) (from any aircraft) contributed to the crash.

The Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) and National Transportation Safety Board (NTSB) are investigating the crash of a medical Learjet 55 which occurred on Jan 31, 2025.

Sources for resolution: NTSB Aviation Accident Reports (https://www.ntsb.gov/investigations/Pages/Investigations.aspx)

If the NTSB does not release a final report by December 31, 2025 then "The NTSB does not release a final report by December 31, 2025." resolves as YES and all other answers will be resolved based on my best interpretation of existing information from sources I consider reliable, such as preliminary reports, information from other official agencies, or official statements from the NTSB reported on by multiple news sources I consider to be accurate (I will be lenient on this, anything "legacy media" will be accepted, tabloids or "background" statements from "someone involved in the investigation" will not).

Intentional acts such as terrorism, suicide, or other forms will not be considered "errors" for the purpose of resolution.

Note that this is for ANY cause the NTSB considers to have contributed to the crash. To trade on the PRIMARY cause of the crash, I have established a second market to trade here.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

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I get an error message trying to trade. Something something client side application error something...

@JussiVilleHeiskanen if you're on the app, try closing it entirely and see if that fixes it. If you're on desktop, do a hard/cache refresh. It's publicly listed so I don't know what the issue would be.

I will not trade on this market.

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