Will Trump be a Dictator on Day 1?
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33
Ṁ3619
resolved Jan 24
Resolved
N/A

When looking at the sum of Donald Trump’s actions on his first day in office (January 20th, 2025), how much will I agree with the statement, “Donald Trump was a dictator on Day 1”? This will only be looking at his actions, and not his words.

This will be Resolving to a percent, with 100% being “I fully agree that Trump was a Dictator on Day 1”, and 0% meaning “I don’t see any dictatorial actions in Trump’s first day”. As this is fully subjective, I won’t be betting here.

Why should you trust my subjective opinion here? I have a weird obsession with Dictator podcasts (I’ve listened to every episode of multiple dictator podcasts - some multiple times), and will be as structured here as I can: comparing his actions to both dictators and democratic leaders.

If you’re looking for a more standard version of this question, you can trade on Shump’s market here: /Shump/will-trump-be-a-dictator-on-day-1-i

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@mods Mattyb is off the site, and this is an entirely subjective market, so I don't think it's suitable for mods to resolve this. In the next few days, I can msg Mattyb and ask him to chime in with his %, and resolve to that. If he doesn't want to opine, it will N/A. (As I don't think he'll be logging in to chime in himself, I guess you'll just have to trust me that I msged him, but that is what it is).

bought Ṁ75 YES

without paywall: https://archive.ph/qHsyR

bought Ṁ50 YES

It’s going to resolve no but go up for about a month before starting to go down, buy yes and sell when the downtrend starts

sold Ṁ400 NO

@CoolName damn good prediction

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